George Friedman

“This is the world as it normally is.” Friedman is talking about us, now. When I said yesterday that failures were normal, mistakes were necessary, I did not then know that Friedman would say much the same in relation to the rise and fall of nations. Conflict is normal. War is a way of adjusting the relative importance of nations.

Failure is normal; mistakes are necessary

You have to recognize failure and mistakes when you see them. The words failure and mistake connote a judgment about a situation. But if you are going to do anything, you must risk failure and error.

I recall one highly successful man tell me that ‘all his attempts to get income after his formal retirement had been “complete failures”‘. He almost said it with glee. He was ready to accept success because he knew what failure consisted of, and would name it as such. No sweat.

I have a very difficult piece of equipment that I take off and re-attach to my tractor every spring. It is a backhoe. It requires the following: the perfect placement of a set of bars protruding from the backhoe under the tractor, so that the cross bar catches the holding brackets of the tractor; the attachment of the hydraulics, which frequently are under a pressure that prevents them from attaching; manipulating the height of the attachment bar with the hydraulics, and by the time spring comes around one has forgotten the knack of moving the whole device just so; never forgetting to move the whole tractor less than a few inches so that the hydraulic tubes are not ripped out of their sources, before the backhoe is successfully attached; and probably a few other nested subproblems.

It used to take me about an hour of cursing and swearing because I used to think that this job should be easy. When I at last accepted that the job would take forty five minutes even if everything went smoothly, frustration disappeared. I have not cursed on that job for over five years. It takes the time it takes.

I have been watching a lot of Andrew Camarata videos on youtube, and the thing I notice os that he makes mistakes, owns them, and moves on to get around or remedy the situation. Failure is normal; mistakes are necessary. I have been so much less frustrated by this realization. I wish I had learned it ages ago.

Andrew Camarata videos are the best illustration of the American working spirit I have yet seen. Watch them and learn. I have.

Tricky tricky

Only government can create a dope shortage

From the Financial Post yesterday.

“By all accounts, the previously existing free market in cannabis still delivers the best outcome: low prices, high quality, and ease of purchase. As reported recently in the Financial Post, unregulated market sellers are set up all over the country ready to serve consumers.

The logical conclusion: In an ideal world, Canada should have simply declared cannabis legal. End of plan. Let the current players get legal. Instead, state planners aimed to subvert the free market and install a modern regulated corporatist model that drove up prices, failed on quality and stumbled setting up retail systems.

And now — hilariously — the cannabis establishment wants to clamp down on the free market, which it conveniently brands as the black market.

Could we start again? Send in Potbusters to take down the lawyers, bureaucrats, corporate dealers, securities regulators and tax collectors. Let the old free market run the cannabis industry.”

Dear Believer

A letter to an authoritarian climate alarmist might go like this:

Dear Cardinal Ethereos of the Church of Gaia:

You asked me a while back how I dared to dissent in the face of the overwhelming evidence that man-caused global warming was real, dangerous, and urgently in need of action. There was considerable asperity in your tone. You thought I had no right to differ from the consensus.

The answer I ought to have given at the time is simple, though the issue is complex and multifaceted. I am a Protestant and a heretic by nature, and I do not trust received wisdom. I come from a tradition of people who defied the Church of another time, and went to war to defend that view, or sailed across the ocean to escape obligatory religious conformity.

In order to answer your question better – and to your mind more seriously – one has to divide the anthropogenic global warming issue into two parts, scientific and political. The scientific part is by no means settled, despite an enormous propaganda exercise that would have most North Americans and Europeans believe that it is.

I think Patrick Moore sums up the non-alarmist view best and most succinctly.

Plants want 1000 to 2000 parts per million to grow best, and the earth now has only 600 parts per million, even after recent increases. CO2 is the staff of life.

The science is not settled, but you would never know this because of the intense propaganda on the political front. Here I side with James Delingpole, who said that the CO2 thing is one branch of the culture wars.

I leave that aside for a moment. Why are 97% of scientists convinced of anthropogenic global warming? In truth this is one of the triumphs of leftist propaganda. They are not, and the figure was as concocted as the data that gave rise to the cholesterol scare of the 1960s. Selective sampling, ignoring countries that did not conform to the preconceived idea: you get the idea. If you have the time and patience, you can read through this article from Wattsupwiththat. But you won’t, will you?

Because none of us has the time. We all float in an ocean of manufactured opinion. My opinion is from a boutique, a single person enterprise. I make my own. Your opinion was manufactured for you, and people like the convenience of mass-produced opinion, even if it leads to authoritarian compulsion. And in your case, Cardinal Ethereos, especially if it leads to authoritarian compulsion.

Climate Crackpots

“The difference between stupidity and genius is that genius has its limits”. So said the great Einstein years ago.

As living proof of his brilliant observation, we are now treated to St Greta of Doom, the teenage half-wit from Sweden who thinks she can “…see carbon dioxide in the air”.

Cruelly used by unscrupulous politicians trawling for the votes of the credulous, and eco-racketeers seeking to fleece the taxpayers yet again, this poor ill-informed girl should be sent back to school to learn some basic science. Worse than that are the hordes of politicians, journalists, lawyers, fake news reporters–the snake-oil salesmen of the modern world–exploiting her for all its worth to foist their end-of-the-world hysteria on all of us.

Nearly 500 scientists and engineers have just sent a letter to the UN urging them not to sign on to this hysterical tsunami of madness. There is no climate emergency. The world will not end in ten years. The only real threat to ourselves is the madness enveloping the chattering classes. The only real effect of all this hysteria will be the wasting of billions of dollars of taxpayers’ money on absurd projects that will go nowhere.

Look at all the failed predictions of the last fifty years of climate hysteria.

Every now and then, hysterical movements sweep through nations. In times past, there was the South Sea Bubble, the Children’s Crusade in the Middle Ages, the Tulip Mania, the Mississippi Scheme, and many more. Many of these were described in fascinating detail in Charles MacKay’s book of 1841, “Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds”. It should be required reading for all politicians. (I would add journalists but I’m not sure if many of them can actually read.)

As MacKay says at one point;

Every age has its peculiar folly — some scheme, project, or phantasy into which it plunges, spurred on either by the love of gain, the necessity of excitement, or the mere force of imitation. Failing in these, it has some madness, to which it is goaded by political or religious causes, or both combined.

Climate hysteria is the current mania. Politicians are its mountebanks and the Fake News Media its poltroons. Infusions of Reality may cure it, but much damage may be done first.

Rebel Yell

UK doctor loses appeal for transgender beliefs

You cannot make this up. Compelled speech once more. This is from CBN News.

“An experienced Christian doctor in the United Kingdom was forced out of his job as a disability benefits assessor for refusing to use transgender pronouns while working for the British government. Now he has lost his lawsuit against the government after refusing, hypothetically, to refer to “a six-foot-tall bearded man” as “madam.”

“The Employment Tribunal he had appealed to ruled that his belief in the Biblical view of what it is to be male and female was “incompatible with human dignity.”

“The 56-year-old physician told the newspaper “I believe gender is defined by biology and genetics. And that, as a Christian, the Bible teaches us that God made humans male or female.”

“The doctor was forced out of his job and he sued the government, arguing he was the victim of religious discrimination and harassment over his beliefs and convictions.

“On Tuesday, the judge overseeing the case ruled against Dr. Mackereth, putting transgender rights ahead of Christian freedoms and, in effect, forcing Christians to use compelled speech in order to not offend those who believe in gender-fluidity, according to the Christian Legal Centre, which represented Mackereth. “

This is grotesque. The Daily Wire reported.

” Mackereth responded to the ruling, asserting, “I am not alone in being deeply concerned by this outcome. Staff in the NHS, even those who do not share my Christian convictions, are also disturbed as they see their own freedom of thought and speech being undermined by the judges’ ruling. No doctor, or researcher, or philosopher, can demonstrate or prove that a person can change sex. Without intellectual and moral integrity, medicine cannot function and my 30 years as a doctor are now considered irrelevant compared to the risk that someone else might be offended.”

It’s just another branch of the culture wars

James Delingpole gets to the climate scare at 21:30, where he says “It’s just another branch of the culture wars”. That is the position I have reached. Above or aside from the science, or the “science”, of climate catastrophism, is a political purpose, which is to destroy capitalism, and have us buy into it, pleading to have shackles placed on our wrists, for our own good. It is very clever and many intelligent people believe it. Like Papal infallibility.

Mr. President, I’m beginning to smell a big fat commie rat!