Besieged

We are in a siege. The enemy has invested us, and then besieged us.

Siege And Destruction Of A City Under Holy Roman Emperor ...

Wikipedia defines besieged in these terms:

“A siege is a militaryblockade of a city, or fortress, with the intent of conquering by attrition, or a well-prepared assault. This derives from Latinsederelit. ‘to sit’.[1]Siege warfare is a form of constant, low-intensity conflict characterized by one party holding a strong, static, defensive position. Consequently, an opportunity for negotiation between combatants is not uncommon, as proximity and fluctuating advantage can encourage diplomacy. The art of conducting and resisting sieges is called siege warfare, siegecraft, or poliorcetics.”

We are in day 30, say, of the siege. Food is still plentiful and booze and drugs are available. Disease or resistance to disease may wipe out the besiegers (the communicability of the virus) just as well it the virus may kill some of us. At first we thought this was a bit of a lark. Now we are starting to realize that, no, this could be the shape of our lives for months – even years – to come.

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Arran Gold

> Now we are starting to realize that, no, this could be the shape of our lives for months – even years – to come.

If that is the way you want to live your life for the next few years then that is certainly your prerogative, but I don’t see why we have to partake in your drama. Sweden, South Korea & Japan haven’t put the country under lockdown. The number of deaths in Spain have fallen for second day in a row. Those hoping for pandemic to spread to Asia and Africa continue to be sorely disappointed. The worldometers site lists the total death count for Bangladesh, country with highest population density with population over 10M, at 8 and India, with slightly lower population density with 1.3bn people, has 86 deaths. Those fancy models
predicted the following for New York State: 65,400 beds projected, 15,905 actually used; 12,000 ICU beds projected, 4,100 used. In the state of FL the hospitals had about 2000 fewer patients and 200 fewer ICU patients than yesterday. By all means hunker down in your castle with your fav hooch and drugs but leave us out of it.

Dalwhinnie

Arran, Arran, please! There is no call for this tone of voice. You don’t have to partake of my “drama”, as you call it. I am not trying to voice any view but my own. You are imputing to me a desire that we be under siege for a long time. This is not so. It is the nature of a blog to be a set of highly personal reflections, and you must allow for a person to be wrong on the facts, as you perceive them to be. You can make the same point – which is that the virus will no be as serious as some suppose – without implying that I want everyone to be confined to their quarters for years. This is not a view I hold, and it is unjust to impute this view to me.. While I do think we shall be confined for months to come, I do not wish it to be so. Your tone of voice is not consistent with what I would use between friends. So don’t be this way. Assume a little goodness on the part of those with whom you deal.

Duggan's Dew of Kirkintilloch

The facts of this pandemic are still very much in doubt. No one knows what is to come. And no one here, I am sure, would be foolish enough to bet personal money on outcomes, given the track records of the governments and institutions generating the numbers, the impact of mitigation efforts, and whatever adaptive capability Wuhan Laboratory 4 engineered into the virus. As someone said the other day, we’re comparing apples to bowling balls to win an ice dancing competition. (Actually, I said that.) I for one will assume a little goodness on the part of those with whom I deal. Meanwhile, for the finer points of plague management, watch “Jaws”, reread “Enemy of the People”, keep an ‘Armed Response’ plaque on every door and window, and above all, make sure the ice cube tray is full for happy hour.

Arran Gold

> The facts of this pandemic are still very much in doubt. No one knows what is to come.

Fauci isn’t going to ring the bell to give the all-clear. This is the same guy who on Jan 21st said, “This is not a major threat to the people of the United States.”. Now he is just making up numbers as he goes along. A video on YouTube gives a good explanation why his forecasts are total nonsense because like everybody else he doesn’t have the data. The title of the video is “Questioning Conventional Wisdom in the COVID-19 Crisis, with Dr. Jay Bhattacharya”

The total worldwide death count for last 5 days is: 5959, 5714, 5799, 4737 and today should come in at about 5,200. This decline in the death count is why the stock market rocketed up today.

> I am sure, would be foolish enough to bet personal money on outcomes

Please see this https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EUtKHQDXQAI4KoL?format=jpg&name=large

There are two things at play, the pandemic and the response. You will find widespread sentiment that the response is based primarily on emotion. A very good video on YouTube to watch regarding this is titled “Prof. John Ioannidis: We’re likely overreacting to COVID and dooming ourselves to a horrible future”

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