US 2018 election factoid

From the liberal pollster Nate Silver.

Even if Democrats were to win every single 2018 House and Senate race for seats representing places that Hillary Clinton won or that Trump won by less than 3 percentage points — a pretty good midterm by historical standards — they could still fall short of the House majority and lose five Senate seats.

This is partly attributable to the nature of House districts: GOP gerrymandering and Democratic voters’ clustering in urban districts has moved the median House seat well to the right of the nation. Part of it is bad timing. Democrats have been cursed by a terrible Senate map in 2018: They must defend 25 of their 48 seats1 while Republicans must defend just eight of their 52.

old white guy

unless the GOP starts acting conservative and doing what they were elected to do, the democrats will win a massive majority because the conservatives will not vote. Remember when conservatives dumped Mulroney. Liberals didn’t dump the conservatives, the conservatives did. And what’s her face, PM for three months got the shaft.

Satuday Review of the Labyrinth - American Digest

[…] US 2018 election factoid –   Even if Democrats were to win every single 2018 House and Senate race for seats representing places that Hillary Clinton won or that Trump won by less than 3 percentage points — a pretty good midterm by historical standards — they could still fall short of the House majority and lose five Senate seats. […]

Bill Elder

The Dems will be a disjointed rump party after a stunning loss of seats in the mid terms – they have nothing to sell the majority are buying – what do they have besides bolshy street violence? Jobs, security, better schools? Nope, just insane vitriol.

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